It's been a challenging economic moment this spring, with consumer confidence hitting near-record lows. Though 38% of consumers say they'll cut back across categories if tariffs inflate prices, we found there’s still good news for ecommerce brands.
Even amidst the economic turbulence, experts predict that ecommerce growth will continue, though at a slower pace, and Amazon remains the heavyweight in the space. Amazon is well positioned to capture even more retail share with competitive pricing, vast selection, and fast delivery—especially as they expand into, and become a greater consumer resource for, everyday essentials.
At Stella Rising, we learned from the Big Spring Sale that strategic brands can still win with smart deal participation, solid inventory planning, and advertising that protects profitability. With Amazon doubling down on promotions and shoppers becoming more price-conscious, success comes down to balancing value with strong margins.
Now is the time to finalize strategies, optimize operations, and communicate transparently with customers to maximize impact across this pivotal shopping season.
THE BIG SPRING SALE: WHAT DID WE LEARN?
- Deal Participation was lower than other tentpoles, only +58% of Stella Rising clients chose to participate
- Clients that participated saw an average of a +22% lift vs YTD average daily sales and an +18% lift vs Big Spring Sale 2024
- Clients that did not participate still saw an average of a +6% lift vs YTD average daily sales and a +25% lift vs LY due to the increased traffic on Amazon
- Average Discount 15%-25% off
- TLDR: Consumers are still shopping a sale—and there can be wins on the board when priced and positioned appropriately
WHICH PROMOTIONAL EVENTS CAN YOU TAKE ADVANTAGE OF NEXT?
- Graduation (5/27-6/9)
- Father’s Day (6/9-6/15)
- Stella Recommendation: While these promotions are not heavily merchandised on Amazon, we recommend assessing and testing these smaller events where it makes sense for your brand.
GET READY, HERE COMES PRIME DAY
Prime Day 2025 dates are not announced yet, but we estimate the 2nd or 3rd week of July based on inbound shipping deadlines and historical timing
For the first time ever, Prime Day will be a 4-day event. Amazon has also introduced a 30% minimum discount requirement for enhanced merchandising consideration
STELLA PRIME DAY PREDICTIONS
- Amazon will invest heavily in on-site merchandising and off-site marketing to make this year’s event their biggest ever.
- Given the current economic landscape, many brands will either limit their promotional assortment and discounts to protect their margins—or may even skip out on the event altogether.
- Brands may reduce advertising spend, causing a potential shift in the Amazon ecosystem and competition.
- Consumers are wary of price increases and will pull back to focus on essentials…But another behavior to watch out for? Consumers purchasing heavily now, stocking up before potential price increases.
- Only a small percentage of consumers will continue to shop as usual, showing sensitivity to upcoming price changes.
- Brands should communicate any price increases as soon as possible to maintain trust and good communication with their devoted customers.
CHECK LIST FOR PRIME DAY
- Define Your Prime Day Goals: Are you hoping to:
- Drive sales?
- Acquire new customers?
- Promote a new product?
- Increase Subscribe ‘n Save subscriptions?
- Move through overstocked or phase-out inventory?
Determining how you want Prime Day to serve your brand is a crucial first step in developing your promotional strategy.
Drive Results...Profitably: Given tumultuous tariffs and Amazon’s push for deeper discounts, brands must consider profitability when finalizing their Prime Day promotional assortment. Prioritize products with healthy margins to ensure that you’re not driving increased topline sales at the expense of your bottom line.
- Ensure your catalog has ample inventory: promoted and non-promoted asins: Ensure inventory is sent well before the fulfillment center cut offs for the entire catalog to avoid out of stocks. Your entire catalog will get extra visibility with the increased traffic on the site!
- Create a robust advertising strategy with updated creatives, strategic keywords, and sponsored brand ads that link to a dedicated deals page in your brand store. Flight spend strategically to support your unique goals during the lead-in, event, and lead-out phases. Stella Tip: Tap into Amazon Marketing Cloud for enhanced insights and custom audience creation opportunities.
- Develop Enhanced Brand Store & Amazon Posts Creatives to showcase promotional assortment and drive customer awareness and engagement.
- Support Promotion with External Traffic including influencer marketing, press/PR, social media, and email.
Promo Type |
Deadline |
Requirements |
Discount Minimum |
Additional Merchandising Discount Threshold |
Vendor or Seller Central |
1P Best Deal |
April 17th |
4-Minimum Star Rating |
15% off Reference Price, Lowest price in the last 30-days |
30% off |
Vendor Central |
3P Best Deal |
May 23rd for eligible items |
4-Minimum Star Rating, $1,000 deal fee |
15% off Base price |
40% off |
Seller Central |
Price Discounts |
N/A |
4-Minimum Star Rating |
15% off Reference Price, Lowest price in the last 30-days |
N/A |
Seller Central |
Prime Member Coupon |
N/A |
Asin must have sales history |
5% off Base price |
N/A |
Both |
Lightning Deal |
May 23rd for eligible items |
4-Minimum Star Rating |
20% off Base price |
N/A |
Both |
Inventory Planning:
Platform |
Deadline |
Seller Central |
· June 9: FBA shipments with “minimal shipment splits” option selected · June 18: FBA shipments with “Amazon-optimized shipment splits” |
Vendor Central |
· May 19th: POs begin to get cut · June 2nd – Inbound shipping cutoff |
Additional Source: The Wall Street Journey, May 2025, eMarketer, “Tariff Impact: Categories in Which US Adults Will Continue to Spend Even When Cutting Back Elsewhere, April 2025,” April 2025
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